Sunday, February 5, 2023

Packers Mock Draft v. 2.0

 

The Super Bowl is set up and we are a week from the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles in the big game. As for the Green Bay Packers, they need to figure out what will happen with Aaron Rodgers. I, personally, think he will be traded, but I will not predict trades here. It will be an interesting offseason for the Packers. Here is my Packers mock draft…

 

1. Brian Branch, S, Alabama

The Packers desperately need a safety. For whatever reason, they picked up Darnell Savage’s fifth year option, despite the fact that he has had a rough last couple years. Adrian Amos also had a rough year this past season and I don’t expect him back. As it is, maybe Rudy Ford and Savage, and that is not good enough to put it nicely. Branch can play in the slot and at safety. His missed tackle percentage is just 3.2 percent, which is huge after being forced to watch Savage attempt to tackle. Nobody in the secondary is a real good tackler, which is a huge reason why he’d be great in Wisconsin. He’s a good run defender, which is a huge plus since the Packers have had such trouble in that area. Branch is one of my draft crushes early on in the draft process.

 

2. Dalton Kinkaid, TE, Utah

This would be a dream second round selection for the Packers. Kincaid is another if my draft crushes. Green Bay needs a tight end in the worst way. Everybody outside of Josiah Deguara in the tight end room is a free agent. Even if Tonyan comes back, the Packers need an upgrade. He has not been the same the last two years. He caught 70 balls for Utah for nearly 900 yards, scoring eight times. He is a great receiving tight end, as evidenced by his numbers. Kincaid could improve his blocking, but his receiving ability more than makes up for it.

 

3. Will McDonald, EDGE, Iowa State

EDGE is a deep position in this year’s draft, which is why I have the Packers waiting until the third round to take one. Green Bay has a big need at EDGE considering Rashan Gary is coming off a torn ACL and will miss some time in 2023. Other than that, the Packers have just Preston Smith and Kingsley Enagbare. The latter had a nice rookie season, but they have nothing after him and need some depth, especially since Preston could be a cap casualty once his contract makes sense to do it since they could be looking at rebuilding soon with Jordan Love.

 

4. Jonathan Mingo, WR, Ole Miss

Green Bay could really use another wide receiver. If Aaron Rodgers is traded, the Packers will more than likely not re-sign Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb. After that, it is just the three rookies—Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs and Samori Toure—under contract for 2023. It would not surprise me to see the team acquire a receiver if Rodgers is traded to the Jets. Denzel Mims could be a target to acquire to see if a change of scenery could do him well. Mingo could be a great target for Love to form a great WR group.

 

5. Wanya Morris, OT, Oklahoma

The Packers need to take an offensive tackle at some point. Who knows how many years David Bakhtiari has left? He has been banged up the last few years. When he plays, he is outstanding. It looks like they have an heir apparent in Zach Tom. They need a RT, though, as I don’t see Yosh Nijman as the long-term solution at the position. A highly-rated recruit coming out of high school, Morris has played both right and left tackle at Oklahoma. That type of versatility is something the Packers love.

 

7a. Moro Ojomo, DL, Texas

The Packers draft a defensive lineman every year, and this one should be no different. I doubt Jerran Reed is brought back. They need depth at the position. I do like the potential of Devonte Wyatt and T.J. Slaton in addition to Kenny Clark being a star along the line. Dean Lowry is likely gone, so they will need to throw a dart to see if they can hit on someone.

 

7b. Tavion Thomas, RB, Utah

This will become an even bigger need if the team moves on from Aaron Jones. The star running back cannot be brought back at the same number, so his contract will either be restricted or he will be extended, the latter being a risk for a running back nearing 30. If Aaron Rodgers is traded, the chances of Jones being let go rise, but they may want him to help Jordan Love since he is a weapon out of the backfield.

 

7c. Joe Tippman, IOL, Wisconsin

His stock may have gone up considerably at the Senior Bowl, but as it is right now, I will have him go here. The interior of the offensive line has not done as well as the Packers would have hoped, especially Josh Myers. He has been maddeningly inconsistent. He can play all around the inside. It’d be a steal in the seventh.

Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Top 10 Unexpected Successful Seasons

Not long ago, SKOR North put out a list of the top unexpected seasons in Minnesota sports history (or at least since when Judd Zulgad started watching sports). I thought that was an interesting list, so I decided to make a list of my own, involving my favorite teams (Wisconsin football, Wisconsin men’s basketball, Packers, Twins, Timberwolves and Wild) since I was born in June of 1989. It was brutal to get this down to 10. There were a number of honorable mentions that deserved to be on the list, but I couldn’t find a spot for them. Ordering them was brutal too. So here we go:

 

Honorable Mentions:

Wisconsin men’s basketball 1993-94

Wisconsin men’s basketball 2007-08

Wisconsin men’s basketball 2013-14

Wisconsin football 2009

Wisconsin football 2016

Wisconsin football 2019

Green Bay Packers 1989

Green Bay Packers 2007

Minnesota Twins 2015

 

Top 10

10. Green Bay Packers 2019

Green Bay was coming off a 6-9-1 season, one in which Mike McCarthy was fired after an embarrassing loss at home against the lowly Arizona Cardinals. Aaron Rodgers’ play had declined the previous few years. He was still good, but not Superman like he had been. The Packers responded by drafting Rashan Gary and Darnell Savage in the first round and Elgton Jenkins in round two. Add that to the free agent signings of Adrian Amos, Za’Darius Smith, Preston Smith and Billy Turner.

Even with the signings, there weren’t high expectations for Green Bay in 2019. However, fans were excited after the week one win at defending NFC North champion Chicago 10-3. They backed that up with another victory over an NFC North contender, Minnesota, staving off a Vikings comeback. The Packers began the season 3-0 and finished with a totally unexpected 13 wins and a No. 2 seed in the playoffs, earning a bye.

Green Bay’s biggest win came in Minneapolis to win the division 23-10 in week 16 and the team won nine games by one scorer, including a 28-23 win over Seattle. Aaron Rodgers did not play great this season, but he was solid and led the Packers to a berth in the NFC Championship game. I don’t think any Packers fan saw this coming. We were hopeful that the team could make the playoffs again, but I don’t think anyone saw a 13-3 season.

9. Wisconsin men’s basketball 2019-20

Wisconsin had more stuff it had to deal with than any team should. It started on Memorial Day weekend when assistant coach Howard Moore was in a car accident that claimed the life of his wife and daughter. Transfer Micah Potter also had to sit out the first semester of the season after the NCAA kept rejected his and Wisconsin’s appeals to let him play before later December. The strength coach Erik Helland resigned due to him using the n-word when telling a story from his days with the Chicago Bulls. Finally, Kobe King, a talented young guard, left the program shortly before a trip to Iowa City in January. That doesn’t even cover the fact that the Badgers had to replace all-world forward Ethan Happ.

The season didn’t start promising, starting out 5-5 and had to fight to beat Milwaukee in Potter’s first game, but were able to defeat three ranked teams in the start of January, including two on the road. But still, the Badgers found themselves at 12-9 and 5-5 in Big Ten play after Wisconsin blew a lead in Iowa City. Their next game was against No. 14 Michigan State without King, who had transferred, and no Brad Davison, who was suspended for the contest.

After a loss at Minnesota, Wisconsin won its final eight games of the season, including the finale at Indiana with a Big Ten title on the line. Trailing by seven in the second half, Brad Davison and Micah Potter came up huge to pull off a comeback win. Davison’s two free throws cemented the championship in a 60-56 win. Unfortunately, COVID cancelled the NCAA Tournament because it would have been fun to see how this team would have done in March. With all that went on, it is amazing the team won it all. People were calling Greg Gard to be fired, but he galvanized the team and led them on a roll. Wisconsin wore “4 More” patches throughout the season due to the four members of the Moore family involved in the car crash. The Badgers won the championship clinching game at Indiana by four. Four Moore. 

8. Minnesota Twins 2001

The Minnesota Twins entered the 2001 season with a young roster that most expected to be a few years away from truly making a run at the division. Not only that, but they were looked at as a contraction candidate along with the Montreal Expos. But the Twins busted out of the gate to a 14-3 start and were 55-32 at the All-Star break. They also drafted the future face of the franchise in Joe Mauer, having the top pick in the draft.

While Minnesota faltered in the second half, going just 30-45 to finish 85-77, it signaled big things ahead. It was first winning season since 1992 and would start a string of nine seasons out of the next 10 finishing above .500. The very next season, the Twins, made up of largely the same players, reached the American League Championship series. In the next decade, Minnesota reached the playoffs six times and lost in game 163 (which should have been in Minneapolis) another season.

And most importantly, the unexpected success of the 2001 Minnesota Twins stayed just that……the MINNESOTA Twins.

7. Wisconsin men’s basketball 2001-02

On many other people’s list, this may be even higher. Wisconsin was coming off a solid season in which it was the No. 6 seed in the tournament, but was bounced by upstart Georgia State 50-49 when Mark Vershaw missed two free throws in the closing seconds. Early in the season, the veteran-laden team led by Vershaw and Mike Kelley lost its coach to retirement. Much like Bo Ryan during the 2015-16 season, head coach Dick Bennett retired abruptly during non-conference play. Brad Soderberg took over for the remainder of the season. I still always wonder if they had beaten Georgia State and had upset Maryland, does Soderberg get the full-time gig?

Soderberg obviously did not get the full-time job. That went to a coach who was turning around UW-Milwaukee and had had enormous success at UW-Platteville by the name of Bo Ryan. Bo had his work cut out for him. Not only was Wisconsin losing a ton of seniors, but he only had eight scholarship players. The team had a lot of talent, led by junior Kirk Penney and freshmen Devin Harris and Mike Wilkinson. The team limped to a 3-6 start, including losses to Hawaii and Weber State. But the team won its final six games to finish 18-11 in the regular season and 11-5 in the Big Ten, finishing in a tie for first place in the Big Ten (with Illinois, Indiana and Michigan State), the first regular season championship for the Badgers since 1947 (!!!!). Wisconsin knocked off St. John’s in the first round of the tournament 80-70 as a No. 8 seed and only trailed top-seeded and eventual national champion Maryland 38-30 at halftime before running out of gas in an 87-57 defeat.

But Bo Ryan was here to stay. He never finished lower than fourth in the Big Ten and earned two Final Four trips in his final two full seasons. In his second season at the helm, the Badgers won the Big Ten again, this time it was outright, defeating Illinois in a thriller in Madison in the regular season finale. Ryan led the team to four conference titles in all.

6. Wisconsin men’s basketball 2021-22

The Badgers were losing a terrific senior class that led them to the Big Ten title in 2020. They retained Brad Davison and received a transfer big man Chris Vogt from Cincinnati. However, they were picked preseason to finish 10th in the Big Ten. As Matt Lepay put it so beautifully after the victory at home against Purdue, “And then they played the games.”

Many people thought sophomore Johnny Davis would become a force for the Badgers. Even the biggest Badger homers didn’t think he’d become Big Ten Player of the Year and First Team All-American, but that is just what he did. Johnny showed up in the biggest games. The country was first put on notice when they played a very good Houston team in the Maui Invitational. Davis poured in 30 points on 18 shots in a 65-63 upset of the No. 12 Cougars. In early January, Davis dropped in a career-high 37 points in a monster 74-69 win at Mackey Arena, which has been a house of horrors for Wisconsin, against No. 3 Purdue. With a chance of at least a share of the Big Ten on the line, Bucky met those same Boilermakers in the second to last game of the regular season. It wasn’t Davis, but a freshman Chucky Hepburn who nailed the biggest shot of the season, a triple from the left wing to knock off No. 8 Purdue and clinch a share of the Big Ten.

Not bad for a team picked to finish 10th in the conference preseason.

5. Twins 2017

The Minnesota Twins entered the 2017 season with no expectations. Following a surprising 2015 campaign, the 2016 season was abysmal. They went 59-103, good for the worst record in Major League Baseball. Minnesota won its first four games of the season, signaling it was a different team. The Twins became the first team in MLB history to reach the playoffs the year following a 100-loss season.

Minnesota had to hold off the Los Angeles Angels for the final wild card spot, helped by back-to-back games with a walk-off home run in the month of August. Eddie Rosario crushed a two-run bomb down the right field line to beat San Diego and Byron Buxton followed with one to left-center to defeat Toronto. A late five-game winning streak helped put away the Angels. Unfortunately, Minnesota lost to New York (because of course) in the wild card game, squandering a 3-0 lead, but this turnaround season was one of the more surprising seasons in recent memory.

4. Wisconsin men’s basketball 1999-2000

This team is surprising because of the incredible run it had. This team’s run made fall in love with Bucky basketball. Wisconsin was coming off a season in which it scored just 32 points in an embarrassing 43-32 loss in the 1999 NCAA Tournament to Southwest Missouri State. The regular season was ho hum, but finished in spectacular fashion as the Badgers upset No. 14 Indiana 56-53. The Badgers finished the season at 16-12 and reached the semifinals of the conference tournament.

The 18-13 Badgers made the NCAA Tournament as a No. 8 seed where they took on NCAA’s leading scorer and future NBA draft pick Courtney Alexander and Fresno State, coached by the legendary Jerry Tarkanian. The Bulldogs led midway through the second half before Jon Bryant took over with four triples from the same spot to put the Badgers in front for good.

Wisconsin followed that up by upsetting top-seeded Arizona with Gilbert Arenas and Richard Jefferson and Stromile Swift’s LSU Tigers. Wisconsin reached the Final Four for the first time since 1941 with a win over Purdue, which it defeated in the Big Ten Tournament just a few weeks before. The run to the Final Four re-energized the program and helped set up a great run of success under Bo Ryan.

3. Minnesota Wild 2002-03

Okay, no one in their right mind had Minnesota doing much in this year, just its third season of existence. The Wild were coming off a season in which they finished 12th in the Western Conference. Not only did they reach the playoffs, but made two huge upsets to reach the Western Conference finals for the first (and to this point, only) time.

Led by youngster Marian Gaborik, Minnesota went 42–29–10–1 in the regular season and was the No. 6 seed in the playoffs. In the first round, it was seemingly a David vs. Goliath matchup against the star-studded Colorado Avalanche, led by Adam Foote, Peter Forsberg, Milan Hejduk and Patrick Roy. Since the start of February, Colorado was 22-5-2-3, so Minnesota had a tall task to put it lightly. Minnesota won game one, but lost the next three to the heavy favorites. Following a game five win, the Wild came back home and Richard Park gave Minnesota an overtime victory. The Wild followed that up with a remarkable game seven victory in overtime with an incredible winner by Andrew Brunette.

Minnesota followed that up with another series against Vancouver in which it came back from a 3-1 deficit to win. In the deciding game seven, the Wild came back from a 2-0 hole to score four unanswered and win 4-2. In both series, the Wild won three games on the road. Minnesota still has not made it back to the conference finals. This unlikely run there needs to be ranked high.

2. Green Bay Packers 1992

The Packers hadn’t made the playoffs since the strike-shortened year of 1982 and had only five winning seasons since the Vince Lombardi years and made the playoffs just the once. Green Bay was coming off a 4-12 season. The Packers brought in the hottest coach on the market in Mike Holmgren to run the show and new general manager Ron Wolf traded a first round pick for a backup quarterback named Brett Favre. To make matters worse, the Packers started out the 1992 season with an 0-2 record and coming off a 31-3 drubbing in Tampa.

Enter the week three game at Lambeau Field against Cincinnati. Green Bay entered the fourth quarter trailing 17-3 and the team lost its starting quarterback Don Majkowski to a serious injury. Enter Brett Favre. The team had cut the deficit to 23-17 and had to start inside its own 10-yard line after a poor decision by Robert Brooks on the kickoff. That is when the legend of the gunslinger who wears No. 4 began. Favre led his team down the field, throwing a 35-yard touchdown pass down the right sideline to Kitrick Taylor with 13 seconds left to earn the 24-23 win over Cincinnati.

The team ended up going 9-7, missing the playoffs, but it set the stage for future success. It was the last time Green Bay did not make the playoffs until 1999. It signaled the Packers had found their quarterback in the form of a second-year man out of Southern Miss. In the run of playoff berths, they would win at least one playoff game every year from 1993-97. The one time they didn’t, let’s be honest, Jerry Rice fumbled and the Packers should have won that one following the 1998 season.

1. Wisconsin football 1993

Throughout the late 1980s, the Wisconsin Badgers football program was a disaster. Following the unfortunate passing of head coach Dave McClain prior to the 1986 season, the Badgers under Jim Hilles and Don Morton went a combined 9-36, including an embarrassing 5-27 record in Big Ten play.

In 1988, the University of Wisconsin hired Donna Shalala as chancellor, who hired Pat Richter as athletics director a year later. A year after that, the two hired Barry Alvarez as the new head football coach. Alvarez was thrust into a position that hadn’t seen the school reach the Rose Bowl in nearly 30 years. In his first three years, the Badgers won 11 games and 10 in the previous two games. The program was ready for a big jump in year four under Alvarez.

The Badgers were primed for the breakout season behind the great running back core of Terrell Fletcher and the Big Ten player of the year, the late, great, Brent Moss. The Badgers only hiccup was a loss at lowly Minnesota, but Wisconsin knocked off Michigan State in Tokyo to earn the Rose Bowl spot after Michigan beat Ohio State in the regular season finale.

Wisconsin went out a won the Rose Bowl against UCLA in its home stadium. Darrell Bevell’s 21-yard touchdown run was the difference as Bucky won 21-16. People thought about the Wisconsin football program differently that day. After hardly ever going to bowls, the Badgers go there on a regular basis. Starting with that win, Wisconsin has been to six Rose Bowls, winning three of them. With that, it has started the Badgers being a big time program for the past 30 seasons.